Growth in the Postbellum Economy: A
Reconsideration of American Progress
Arguably
one of the most unreconciled phases of American history, the postbellum period left
many Americans uneasy about Reconstruction, expanding urbanization and industrialization,
and harsh postwar human and material realities. Some entrepreneurs built great wealth
through emerging innovation and technology, while others faced relentless economic
uncertainty. Common interpretations of this period often emphasize themes of excessive
exploitation and inequality. This blog seeks to deliver an alternative
perspective, one focused on highlighting actual positive economic growth and progress.
To
build this essay’s case, we explore Northern and Southern postbellum production
growth from 1865-1900. From there, we then discuss postbellum growth and its relationship
with human progress. By “progress”, we refer to how Americans lived better
lives. For the most part, postbellum economic growth and industrialization enhanced
the American experience.
Much
has been made of the divergent postwar economic paths of the North and South. In
general, the North experienced constant economic growth through a multitude of rapidly
developing industries such as chemicals, metals, coal, textiles, and transportation,
among many others. Case in point: Northen industrial production grew 6.02
percent annually from 1840-1900; 6.62 from 1840-1860; 5.16 from 1865-1877; and
3.56 during the Civil War, the only notable downswing.[1] These figures suggest
Northern industrialization remained in full flight before, during, and after
the war.
Naturally,
rising industrialization produced extraordinary urbanization. To put this shift
into perspective, in 1810, urban dwellers in incorporated areas represented
about 12% of the U.S. population; yet by 1910, the number swelled to 45%.[2] At the same time, Northeastern
regions nearly doubled the national average, as nearly three out of every four inhabitants
lived in urban quarters.[3] And according to
population density (per square mile) statistics, the Northeast held markedly higher
figures than the national average. All regions of the country held similar
figures until 1850; yet, by 1910, the Northeast region accommodated roughly 400
residents per square mile, a figure no less than 10 times greater than everywhere
else in the country.[4]
In
contrast, the postbellum South remained largely agricultural, driven by labor-intensive
industries. That said, the South and North experienced similar industrial
growth patterns for much of the nineteenth century, with one exception: the
Civil War period. While the North faced a modest dip during the war compared to
the antebellum period (3.56), the South encountered precipitous decline
(-11.69).[5] A glance into capital and
non-capital-intensive growth rates reveal even grimmer economic realities in
the South compared to the North. For example, while the North did confront minor
negative capital-intensive growth (-1.09), the South confronted a stunning -16.09
decline. Even Southern non-capital intensive industries experienced negative
growth (-6.98), whereas the North actually produced an 8.83 percent rise.[6]
These
figures illustrate a destabilized Southern economy. Indeed, Southern
capital-intensive production surged during the postbellum period; however, one
can reason this was somewhat a product of a severely depressed existing economy.
From 1862-1898, Northern industrial production far exceeded that of the South.
Not until 1900 did the South surpass Northern production.[7] That the South exceeded
the North by then was remarkable. However, one must remember that Southern and Northern
output remained even from 1840 to the start of the war. And while production remained
similar on both sides until 1861, Northern industrialization and urbanization
developed rather quickly throughout the nineteenth century. On the other hand, the
South did not invest heavily into capital intensive industries until the end of
Reconstruction, at which point, capital intensive growth ascended by a factor
of 15 by 1900, whereas non-capital grew only by a factor of 4.[8]
Let
us now grapple with the idea of progress. To advance a deeper understanding of
the period, one must consider how and the extent to which Americans lived better
lives, especially during the latter half of the century. In the case of life
expectancy at birth, for instance, subjects born in 1850 averaged 38.3 years.[9] By 1900, life expectancy increased
by 20%.[10] To put these gains into perspective,
if today’s average Americans gained 20%, they would be centurions. From
1850-1930, moreover, illiteracy rates dropped significantly across most age
groups.[11] And by 1930, little to no
differences remained between the rates of men and women aged 21 and over (5.2
vs 5.4). However, a brief glance into regional figures suggests most postbellum
illiteracy improvement occurred in the South and West. For instance, when
comparing Northern, Southern, and West figures from 1860-1900, Northern illiteracy
dropped .5%, whereas Southern illiteracy fell 17%, and the West dropped nearly
10%. School enrollment gaps also drastically narrowed between Whites and other
races from 1850-1900. In 1850, for example, Whites held 53% enrollment rates compared
to 2% for Blacks and other races.[12] By 1900, the gap closed from
53% to 30%.[13]
Overall, substantive progress occurred, especially in the case of non-White populations.
The
postbellum period remains uniquely fundamental to American history. Americans
aimed to reconcile the gruesome human and material realities of the war, while
negotiating emerging industrialization, mechanization, and capitalism. Much has
been written on the Gilded Age, and the so-called “robber barons” such as
Andrew Carnegie, Cornellius Vanderbilt, and John D. Rockefeller. Contemporary
academics appear increasingly hostile to this era, its most notable
industrialists, and their contributions. Indeed, harsh work conditions and
poverty existed, and great fortunes were lost; however, the data strongly confirms
the presence of extensive human progress across the board. Ultimately, Americans
lived markedly better lives than previous generations, a point often taken for
granted or overlooked in current discussions.
[1] Joseph H. Davis
and Marc D. Weidenmier, “The Macroeconomic Impact
of the American Civil War,” Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 34, https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/documents/news/conferences/2022/05/23/monetary-and-financial-history-workshop/davis-weidenmier.pdf. Accessed 5
September 2024.
[2] Leah Platt
Boustan, Devin Bunten, and Owen Hearey, “NBER Working Paper Series: Urbanization
in the United States 1800-2000,” National Bureau of Economic Research, (May
2013): 34.
[3] Ibid.
[4] Ibid., 36.
[5] Davis and
Weidenmier, 34.
[6] Ibid., 35.
[7] Ibid., 36.
[8] Ibid., 40.
[9] Richard H. Steckel,
“A History of the Standard of Living in the United States,” Economic History
Association, https://eh.net/encyclopedia/a-history-of-the-standard-of-living-in-the-united-states/.
Accessed 8 September 2024.
[10] Ibid.
[11] Campbell Gibson, American
Demographic History Chartbook: 1790-2000, Democratic Chartbook, 2010, 82, https://demographicchartbook.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/Gibson-DemographicChartbook.pdf.
[12] Thomas A. Snyder,
120 Years of American Education, 6.
[13] Ibid.
Bibliography
Boustan, Leah, P., Devin Bunten,
and Owen Hearey. “NBER Working Paper Series: Urbanization in the United States
1800-2000,” National Bureau of Economic Research, (May 2013).
Davis, Joseph H. and Marc D.
Weidenmier. “The Macroeconomic Impact of the American Civil War,” Federal
Reserve Bank of Atlanta, https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/documents/news/conferences/2022/05/23/monetary-and-financial-history-workshop/davis-weidenmier.pdf.
Gibson, Campbell. “American
Demographic History Chartbook: 1790-2000, Democratic Chartbook,” 2010, https://demographicchartbook.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/Gibson-DemographicChartbook.pdf.
National Center for Education
Statistics, 129 Years of American Education: A Statistical Portrait, by
Thomas A Snyder. NCES 93442. 1993. https://nces.ed.gov/pubs93/93442.pdf.
Steckel, Richard. “A History of the
Standard of Living in the United States,” Economic History Association,
https://eh.net/encyclopedia/a-history-of-the-standard-of-living-in-the-united-states/.